MetService forecasts for Wellington International Airport indicate a daytime maximum near 12°C on May 16, driven by persistent southeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air from higher latitudes under a high-pressure ridge. Partial cloud cover limits solar heating, keeping temperatures below the May climatological average of 14°C and aligning with recent cooling observations from mid-week highs in the mid-teens. Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming, positioning the 13°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 70.5% while capping chances for 15°C or higher below 1%. Updated official guidance issued later today could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on airport measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 78%
14°C 25%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$32,154 वॉल्यूम
$32,154 वॉल्यूम
13°C
78%
14°C
25%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 78%
14°C 25%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$32,154 वॉल्यूम
$32,154 वॉल्यूम
13°C
78%
14°C
25%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService forecasts for Wellington International Airport indicate a daytime maximum near 12°C on May 16, driven by persistent southeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air from higher latitudes under a high-pressure ridge. Partial cloud cover limits solar heating, keeping temperatures below the May climatological average of 14°C and aligning with recent cooling observations from mid-week highs in the mid-teens. Model consensus shows low risk of significant warming, positioning the 13°C outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 70.5% while capping chances for 15°C or higher below 1%. Updated official guidance issued later today could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on airport measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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