Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Seoul's May 19 overnight low will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies, light southerly flow, and efficient radiative cooling typical of late-spring high-pressure regimes. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 15–18°C outcomes, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can easily move the minimum by one degree. Historical KMA records place mid-May minima averaging 12–16°C, with urban heat retention often preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range output heavily, given resolution occurs in three days and further model updates could still adjust the precise threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 29%
14°C 21.9%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
13°C या उससे कम
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
1%
16°C 29%
14°C 21.9%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
13°C या उससे कम
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration model runs and ensemble guidance indicate Seoul's May 19 overnight low will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies, light southerly flow, and efficient radiative cooling typical of late-spring high-pressure regimes. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 15–18°C outcomes, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can easily move the minimum by one degree. Historical KMA records place mid-May minima averaging 12–16°C, with urban heat retention often preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range output heavily, given resolution occurs in three days and further model updates could still adjust the precise threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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