Recent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered showers expected over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature near the 27–28°C threshold. These conditions, typical during the pre-monsoon transition, introduce cloud cover that limits solar radiation and favors convective cooling, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly around those two bins rather than higher outcomes. Historical May averages of 29–30°C provide context, yet current model runs indicate slightly below-normal maxima due to enhanced humidity and weak steering flow. Final resolution at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will hinge on the precise timing of any rain bands, with the next CMA briefing likely sharpening the range before settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
30°C 17%
29°C 17%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
27%
28°C
30%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C या उससे अधिक
1%
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
30°C 17%
29°C 17%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
27%
28°C
30%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered showers expected over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, moderating daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature near the 27–28°C threshold. These conditions, typical during the pre-monsoon transition, introduce cloud cover that limits solar radiation and favors convective cooling, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly around those two bins rather than higher outcomes. Historical May averages of 29–30°C provide context, yet current model runs indicate slightly below-normal maxima due to enhanced humidity and weak steering flow. Final resolution at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport will hinge on the precise timing of any rain bands, with the next CMA briefing likely sharpening the range before settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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