Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को ह्यूस्टन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
35%
88°F or higher
52%
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
35%
88°F or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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