Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
15°C या इससे कम
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
34%
22°C
35%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C या अधिक
1%
22°C 35%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
15°C या इससे कम
$141 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$197 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$133 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$428 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$203 वॉल्यूम
4%
20°C
$88 वॉल्यूम
6%
21°C
$120 वॉल्यूम
34%
22°C
$244 वॉल्यूम
35%
23°C
$206 वॉल्यूम
16%
24°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
4%
25°C या अधिक
$87 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,951समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,951समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the South African Weather Service and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Western Cape, supporting a maximum temperature of 21–22 °C on May 18 with limited diurnal variation and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes while assigning lower probability to 23 °C or above, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential marine-layer influence. Historical May climatology places average daily highs near 19–20 °C, so the slight positive anomaly currently priced in stems from drier conditions and reduced cloud cover expected through the weekend.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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