Recent BMKG forecasts and mid-May climatology place Jakarta’s daily highs near 33–34°C during the early dry-season transition, when reduced cloud cover allows stronger solar heating over the urban core while afternoon convection often caps further warming. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in single-degree resolution driven by localized factors including the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings, variable humidity levels around 70–80 percent, and steering winds that influence whether isolated showers develop before peak heating. Historical May data show 33–35°C outcomes occurring with similar frequency, underscoring how minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can tip the exact maximum between these brackets ahead of final observations on May 18.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को जकार्ता में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 5%
36°C 3.5%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
24%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C या उससे अधिक
3%
34°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 5%
36°C 3.5%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
24%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C या उससे अधिक
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent BMKG forecasts and mid-May climatology place Jakarta’s daily highs near 33–34°C during the early dry-season transition, when reduced cloud cover allows stronger solar heating over the urban core while afternoon convection often caps further warming. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in single-degree resolution driven by localized factors including the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings, variable humidity levels around 70–80 percent, and steering winds that influence whether isolated showers develop before peak heating. Historical May data show 33–35°C outcomes occurring with similar frequency, underscoring how minor shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can tip the exact maximum between these brackets ahead of final observations on May 18.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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