The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast and converging ensemble models from JMA and international sources currently project Tokyo’s overnight low at exactly 17 °C on May 16, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 16–17 °C and driving the market’s overwhelming 99.3 % implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge favors clear skies and light winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling toward the dew point with negligible precipitation risk. This tight model consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends, leaves little room for deviation within the typical ±1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range. Realistic challenges include lingering cloud cover that could trap heat and push the low to 18 °C or greater clearing that allows a dip to 16 °C, both low-probability shifts given current atmospheric stability. Final JMA station data will resolve the contract.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
17°C 99.7%
13°C या उससे कम <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$65,375 वॉल्यूम
$65,375 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
17°C 99.7%
13°C या उससे कम <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$65,375 वॉल्यूम
$65,375 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$5,158 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$9,285 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$8,019 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$2,570 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$3,386 वॉल्यूम
100%
18°C
$2,787 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$12,509 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$13,438 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$779 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
$6,921 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast and converging ensemble models from JMA and international sources currently project Tokyo’s overnight low at exactly 17 °C on May 16, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 16–17 °C and driving the market’s overwhelming 99.3 % implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge favors clear skies and light winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling toward the dew point with negligible precipitation risk. This tight model consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends, leaves little room for deviation within the typical ±1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range. Realistic challenges include lingering cloud cover that could trap heat and push the low to 18 °C or greater clearing that allows a dip to 16 °C, both low-probability shifts given current atmospheric stability. Final JMA station data will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,375समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast and converging ensemble models from JMA and international sources currently project Tokyo’s overnight low at exactly 17 °C on May 16, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 16–17 °C and driving the market’s overwhelming 99.3 % implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge favors clear skies and light winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling toward the dew point with negligible precipitation risk. This tight model consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends, leaves little room for deviation within the typical ±1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range. Realistic challenges include lingering cloud cover that could trap heat and push the low to 18 °C or greater clearing that allows a dip to 16 °C, both low-probability shifts given current atmospheric stability. Final JMA station data will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$65,375समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe Japan Meteorological Agency forecast and converging ensemble models from JMA and international sources currently project Tokyo’s overnight low at exactly 17 °C on May 16, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 16–17 °C and driving the market’s overwhelming 99.3 % implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge favors clear skies and light winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling toward the dew point with negligible precipitation risk. This tight model consensus, reinforced by recent observational trends, leaves little room for deviation within the typical ±1–2 °C forecast uncertainty range. Realistic challenges include lingering cloud cover that could trap heat and push the low to 18 °C or greater clearing that allows a dip to 16 °C, both low-probability shifts given current atmospheric stability. Final JMA station data will resolve the contract.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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