Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs converge on an overnight low near 18°C for Tokyo on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–19°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and light winds favor radiative cooling toward the dew point after clear evening skies, while any residual cloud cover or subtle marine air advection could nudge readings 1–2°C higher or lower. Historical May climatology places normal lows near 15–17°C, making the current outlook slightly above average yet within typical model spread. Final resolution depends on the official Otemachi station measurement once conditions stabilize overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
18°C 20%
20°C 9.4%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
1%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
18°C 20%
20°C 9.4%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs converge on an overnight low near 18°C for Tokyo on May 18, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–19°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and light winds favor radiative cooling toward the dew point after clear evening skies, while any residual cloud cover or subtle marine air advection could nudge readings 1–2°C higher or lower. Historical May climatology places normal lows near 15–17°C, making the current outlook slightly above average yet within typical model spread. Final resolution depends on the official Otemachi station measurement once conditions stabilize overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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