Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 40%
32°C 29%
34°C 15%
31°C 14%
नया
$11,561 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,561 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
29%
33°C
40%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 29%
34°C 15%
31°C 14%
नया
$11,561 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,561 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
26°C or below
$576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$1,187 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$579 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$273 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$1,130 वॉल्यूम
5%
31°C
$3,560 वॉल्यूम
14%
32°C
$1,517 वॉल्यूम
29%
33°C
$775 वॉल्यूम
40%
34°C
$1,130 वॉल्यूम
15%
35°C
$324 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C or higher
$510 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,561समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$11,561समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 33°C on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast indicating partly cloudy to light rain conditions with official highs up to 31°C, tempered by recent observational data showing a mid-May heatwave peak of 34.6°C on May 12. Urban heat island effects in densely built Jakarta, combined with high solar insolation during the dry season and climatological May averages around 32°C, support upside potential beyond regional model caps, while elevated humidity (68–97%) and possible afternoon showers introduce uncertainty. Hourly BMKG station updates today could shift ensemble forecasts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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