Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
नया
नया
16 मई, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
27%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
नया
नया
16 मई, 2026
16°C or below
$45 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$195 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$122 वॉल्यूम
9%
20°C
$131 वॉल्यूम
27%
21°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
40%
22°C
$179 वॉल्यूम
22%
23°C
$81 वॉल्यूम
5%
24°C
$81 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$66 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C or higher
$62 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,048समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,048समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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