Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime maximum of 13–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with persistent mid-level cloud cover that limits solar insolation, is suppressing temperatures below the May climatological average of 19°C. Light winds further reduce turbulent mixing and surface heating, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 15°C. Official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) observations through midday will determine whether the peak stays at or below 14°C or edges higher before the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
13°C 36%
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
12°C or below 8.8%
$26,206 वॉल्यूम
$26,206 वॉल्यूम
12°C or below
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
25%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
12°C or below 8.8%
$26,206 वॉल्यूम
$26,206 वॉल्यूम
12°C or below
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
25%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a daytime maximum of 13–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. A northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with persistent mid-level cloud cover that limits solar insolation, is suppressing temperatures below the May climatological average of 19°C. Light winds further reduce turbulent mixing and surface heating, while any breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 15°C. Official Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) observations through midday will determine whether the peak stays at or below 14°C or edges higher before the 24-hour period closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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