Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 मई को मियामी में सबसे कम तापमान?
19 मई को मियामी में सबसे कम तापमान?
73°F या उससे कम 50%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
50%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
1%
73°F या उससे कम 50%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
78-79°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
80-81°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
82-83°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
84-85°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
86-87°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
88-89°F
$281 वॉल्यूम
10%
90-91°F
$271 वॉल्यूम
1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$552समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$552समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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