Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 मई को मियामी में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 मई को मियामी में सबसे कम तापमान?
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 32%
73°F या उससे कम 12.5%
74-75°F 12%
73°F या उससे कम
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 32%
73°F या उससे कम 12.5%
74-75°F 12%
73°F या उससे कम
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32%) or 78-79°F (27%) at Miami International Airport on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting an overnight low in that narrow range amid persistent southerly winds and high dewpoints near 73°F that curb significant radiational cooling. Recent developments include partial clearing after evening showers on May 14-15, which allowed yesterday's low around 82°F but with models now showing reduced cloud cover overnight, nudging probabilities toward the mid-70s; however, urban heat island effects and sea breeze moisture create 2-3°F uncertainty between outcomes. Key differentiator: ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS due to earlier clearing. Watch afternoon model updates and NWS evening forecast for shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न