Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 वॉल्यूम
$54,425 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,425 वॉल्यूम
$54,425 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
7°C or below
$1,307 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$694 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$1,781 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$2,729 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$1,784 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$6,461 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$12,706 वॉल्यूम
Yes
14°C
$9,546 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$5,719 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$7,789 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C or higher
$3,911 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,425समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$54,425समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 13°C at Wellington International Airport on May 15, 2026, backed by finalized observational data from the station as reported via Weather Underground—the market's official resolution source. MetService observations confirm the daily maximum peaked at 13°C amid persistent southerly winds (20-30 km/h) and extensive cloud cover, which suppressed daytime heating consistent with model consensus from earlier forecasts predicting highs of 12-14°C. This aligns with Wellington's climatological May averages near 14°C but reflects today's cool airflow regime. Realistic challenges would require rare post-finalization data revisions by recording agencies, as temperatures have since fallen below 12°C with no upward adjustments expected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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