The closely matched market odds for a 9–12°C low in London on May 19 stem from short-range ensemble forecasts showing modest variability in overnight radiational cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Latest ECMWF and UK Met Office runs indicate surface winds of 5–10 kt and dewpoints near 7°C, which could produce minimums of 10–11°C if skies remain clear, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle Atlantic trough would limit cooling to 12°C or higher. Historical May climatology places average London lows near 9–10°C, but current model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model cycles for confirmation before resolution on May 20.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 मई को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C 28%
12°C 22%
10°C 17%
9°C 7.5%
5°C या उससे कम
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
18%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
6%
14°C
7%
15°C या उससे अधिक
5%
11°C 28%
12°C 22%
10°C 17%
9°C 7.5%
5°C या उससे कम
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
18%
10°C
20%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
6%
14°C
7%
15°C या उससे अधिक
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The closely matched market odds for a 9–12°C low in London on May 19 stem from short-range ensemble forecasts showing modest variability in overnight radiational cooling under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Latest ECMWF and UK Met Office runs indicate surface winds of 5–10 kt and dewpoints near 7°C, which could produce minimums of 10–11°C if skies remain clear, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle Atlantic trough would limit cooling to 12°C or higher. Historical May climatology places average London lows near 9–10°C, but current model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects. Traders are watching the next 48-hour model cycles for confirmation before resolution on May 20.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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