Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 6–11°C (24–25.5% each) due to divergent ensemble outputs from UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on overnight cloud cover and light showers. Updated Met Office guidance as of May 13 shows minimums of 8–9°C at Heathrow and central London sites, driven by a cloudier low-pressure pattern limiting radiative cooling, gusty 20 mph winds mixing the boundary layer, and 30–50% rain chances trapping heat—conditions warmer than recent lows of 5–6°C midweek. Below-5°C outcomes lag at 13.5% amid below-average May norms (historical ~8°C), but clearer spells could dip temps lower. Watch UK Met Office evening update and ECMWF 12z run for shifts ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
17 मई को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C 30%
12°C या अधिक 30%
9°C 28%
11°C 27%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
2°C या उससे कम
3%
3°C
3%
4°C
3%
5°C
3%
6°C
7%
7°C
15%
8°C
24%
9°C
28%
10°C
30%
11°C
27%
12°C या अधिक
30%
10°C 30%
12°C या अधिक 30%
9°C 28%
11°C 27%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
2°C या उससे कम
$58 वॉल्यूम
3%
3°C
$225 वॉल्यूम
3%
4°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
3%
5°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
3%
6°C
$88 वॉल्यूम
7%
7°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
15%
8°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
24%
9°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
28%
10°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
30%
11°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
27%
12°C या अधिक
$29 वॉल्यूम
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 6–11°C (24–25.5% each) due to divergent ensemble outputs from UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on overnight cloud cover and light showers. Updated Met Office guidance as of May 13 shows minimums of 8–9°C at Heathrow and central London sites, driven by a cloudier low-pressure pattern limiting radiative cooling, gusty 20 mph winds mixing the boundary layer, and 30–50% rain chances trapping heat—conditions warmer than recent lows of 5–6°C midweek. Below-5°C outcomes lag at 13.5% amid below-average May norms (historical ~8°C), but clearer spells could dip temps lower. Watch UK Met Office evening update and ECMWF 12z run for shifts ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$521समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 6–11°C (24–25.5% each) due to divergent ensemble outputs from UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on overnight cloud cover and light showers. Updated Met Office guidance as of May 13 shows minimums of 8–9°C at Heathrow and central London sites, driven by a cloudier low-pressure pattern limiting radiative cooling, gusty 20 mph winds mixing the boundary layer, and 30–50% rain chances trapping heat—conditions warmer than recent lows of 5–6°C midweek. Below-5°C outcomes lag at 13.5% amid below-average May norms (historical ~8°C), but clearer spells could dip temps lower. Watch UK Met Office evening update and ECMWF 12z run for shifts ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$521समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for London's lowest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 6–11°C (24–25.5% each) due to divergent ensemble outputs from UK Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on overnight cloud cover and light showers. Updated Met Office guidance as of May 13 shows minimums of 8–9°C at Heathrow and central London sites, driven by a cloudier low-pressure pattern limiting radiative cooling, gusty 20 mph winds mixing the boundary layer, and 30–50% rain chances trapping heat—conditions warmer than recent lows of 5–6°C midweek. Below-5°C outcomes lag at 13.5% amid below-average May norms (historical ~8°C), but clearer spells could dip temps lower. Watch UK Met Office evening update and ECMWF 12z run for shifts ahead of resolution using official Heathrow observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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