Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 वॉल्यूम
$82,204 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 वॉल्यूम
$82,204 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
20°C or below
$2,122 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$1,814 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$2,465 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$2,423 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$4,898 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$7,402 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$11,939 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$11,766 वॉल्यूम
Yes
28°C
$18,491 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$11,131 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C or higher
$7,756 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$82,204समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$82,204समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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