Current forecasts from official meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City will reach a daily high well above 24 °C on May 16, driven by clear skies, strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, and seasonal warming typical of late spring. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through peak afternoon hours, supporting the 99.8 % market-implied probability for 24 °C or higher. The dominant outcome aligns with historical May climatology, where mean maximum temperatures often exceed 25 °C under similar synoptic patterns. A sudden influx of moisture or thicker cloud decks could still cap readings below this threshold, though no such development appears in the latest guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$29,420 वॉल्यूम
$29,420 वॉल्यूम
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
24°C or higher 99.8%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$29,420 वॉल्यूम
$29,420 वॉल्यूम
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City will reach a daily high well above 24 °C on May 16, driven by clear skies, strong solar insolation at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, and seasonal warming typical of late spring. Model consensus shows minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk through peak afternoon hours, supporting the 99.8 % market-implied probability for 24 °C or higher. The dominant outcome aligns with historical May climatology, where mean maximum temperatures often exceed 25 °C under similar synoptic patterns. A sudden influx of moisture or thicker cloud decks could still cap readings below this threshold, though no such development appears in the latest guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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