Recent confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of Congo’s remote Ituri province, including the Bundibugyo strain with roughly 246 suspected infections and 65–80 deaths reported as of mid-May 2026, have triggered rapid surveillance and containment efforts by the DRC Ministry of Health, Africa CDC, and WHO. These measures mirror the successful containment of the prior Kasai outbreak, which ended within three months with just 64 total cases, reflecting strong local capacity for contact tracing, isolation, and ring vaccination in affected health zones. Market-implied odds heavily favor no international emergency declaration by June 30 because the current cluster remains geographically limited, transmission dynamics show no exponential growth, and official monitoring indicates low risk of sustained urban or cross-border spread. Key variables that could alter this trajectory include new genomic data revealing higher transmissibility or unexpected case surges in Bunia or neighboring Uganda.