Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 मई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 मई को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C या उससे कम 33%
26°C 31%
27°C 26%
28°C 9%
$23,918 वॉल्यूम
$23,918 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
33%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
25°C या उससे कम 33%
26°C 31%
27°C 26%
28°C 9%
$23,918 वॉल्यूम
$23,918 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
33%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing project a high of 25°C on May 16 amid light rain, overcast skies, and light easterly winds under 12 km/h, marking a sharp drop from May 15's expected 31°C peak. This shift, driven by increased cloud cover reducing solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, anchors trader sentiment with 29.5% implied probability for 25°C or below and 31% for exactly 26°C. The tight clustering around 25–27°C (27% for 27°C) reflects model consensus near mid-May climatological averages of ~26°C, tempered by uncertainty in rain timing and potential afternoon clearing that could boost highs via greater daytime heating. Hourly updates from official Beijing observatories will refine resolution tomorrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न