Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 68°F or higher on May 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion highlighting mild ridging aloft yielding coastal highs in the 60s to lower 70s amid clear skies early in the weekend. Persistent onshore flow from a sharpening pressure gradient—tied to an upper trough stalling over the Pacific Northwest—strengthens northwest winds to 45-55 mph gusts, fueling a deep marine layer that tempers warming through stratus clouds and coastal jet dynamics, with Neighborhood Blend Model outputs adjusted downward 3-5°F for variability. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal trends, like May 12's 62°F high versus the 68°F climatological average, but Saturday's potential for partial burn-off supports the slight edge for upper-60s peaks; watch Sunday morning's updated GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KSFO measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
17 मई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
68°F or higher 52%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 10%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
32%
68°F or higher
56%
68°F or higher 52%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 10%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
49°F or below
$626 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-51°F
$411 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52-53°F
$360 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56-57°F
$1,387 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$634 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$173 वॉल्यूम
1%
62-63°F
$334 वॉल्यूम
10%
64-65°F
$89 वॉल्यूम
14%
66-67°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
32%
68°F or higher
$61 वॉल्यूम
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 68°F or higher on May 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion highlighting mild ridging aloft yielding coastal highs in the 60s to lower 70s amid clear skies early in the weekend. Persistent onshore flow from a sharpening pressure gradient—tied to an upper trough stalling over the Pacific Northwest—strengthens northwest winds to 45-55 mph gusts, fueling a deep marine layer that tempers warming through stratus clouds and coastal jet dynamics, with Neighborhood Blend Model outputs adjusted downward 3-5°F for variability. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal trends, like May 12's 62°F high versus the 68°F climatological average, but Saturday's potential for partial burn-off supports the slight edge for upper-60s peaks; watch Sunday morning's updated GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KSFO measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,427समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 68°F or higher on May 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion highlighting mild ridging aloft yielding coastal highs in the 60s to lower 70s amid clear skies early in the weekend. Persistent onshore flow from a sharpening pressure gradient—tied to an upper trough stalling over the Pacific Northwest—strengthens northwest winds to 45-55 mph gusts, fueling a deep marine layer that tempers warming through stratus clouds and coastal jet dynamics, with Neighborhood Blend Model outputs adjusted downward 3-5°F for variability. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal trends, like May 12's 62°F high versus the 68°F climatological average, but Saturday's potential for partial burn-off supports the slight edge for upper-60s peaks; watch Sunday morning's updated GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KSFO measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$4,427समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 68°F or higher on May 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast discussion highlighting mild ridging aloft yielding coastal highs in the 60s to lower 70s amid clear skies early in the weekend. Persistent onshore flow from a sharpening pressure gradient—tied to an upper trough stalling over the Pacific Northwest—strengthens northwest winds to 45-55 mph gusts, fueling a deep marine layer that tempers warming through stratus clouds and coastal jet dynamics, with Neighborhood Blend Model outputs adjusted downward 3-5°F for variability. Recent observations confirm cooler-than-normal trends, like May 12's 62°F high versus the 68°F climatological average, but Saturday's potential for partial burn-off supports the slight edge for upper-60s peaks; watch Sunday morning's updated GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KSFO measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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