Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C या अधिक <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
$250,948 वॉल्यूम
$250,948 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C या अधिक <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
$250,948 वॉल्यूम
$250,948 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$3,197 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$2,451 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$3,480 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$3,250 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$3,588 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$3,984 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$28,931 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$67,039 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$73,854 वॉल्यूम
100%
28°C
$30,938 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C या अधिक
$30,859 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$250,948समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$250,948समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by Hong Kong Observatory observations showing morning peaks of 26.7°C at the Observatory station under 87% relative humidity, with maximums since midnight not exceeding that amid cloudy conditions and active thunderstorm warnings. A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, reinforced by a fresh easterly airstream, has capped heating potential through persistent showers and cloud cover, as confirmed in the Observatory's 16:30 HKT 9-day forecast update indicating similar 24–27°C ranges ahead. This aligns with climatological suppression during such synoptic patterns, well below May's typical 28–29°C highs. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing late afternoon enabling solar insolation to push readings to 28°C, though low solar angle and residual moisture make this unlikely; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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