Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 वॉल्यूम
$69,355 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,355 वॉल्यूम
$69,355 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
26°C or below
$7,342 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$5,749 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$15,763 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$11,760 वॉल्यूम
Yes
30°C
$5,766 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$7,304 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$5,898 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$3,113 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$1,095 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$2,555 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C or higher
$3,010 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$69,355समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$69,355समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 15, driven by confirmed observational data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) station at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded a daily maximum of 29°C amid cloudy conditions. This aligns with pre-event forecast guidance from numerical weather prediction models showing peaks of 28–30°C, consistent with May climatology—average highs around 28°C—and the recent warming trend (26°C on May 13, 28°C on May 14). Upper-level steering patterns and moderate humidity capped intensification potential. Realistic challenges include rare CMA quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, though preliminary station records post-12:00 UTC rarely change, solidifying the outcome as the day concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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