Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (28.5%) and 26°C (27.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster afternoon peaks at 25-26°C amid mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds. Recent observations confirm early May warming trends, with May 15's high nearing 25°C as predicted, up from 22-24°C earlier in the week, aligning with seasonal climatology where Shanghai averages 24-25°C highs influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition and urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification capping at 25°C versus prolonged solar heating pushing to 26°C; new evening model runs will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
27°C 12%
$22,911 वॉल्यूम
$22,911 वॉल्यूम
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
27°C 12%
$22,911 वॉल्यूम
$22,911 वॉल्यूम
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (28.5%) and 26°C (27.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster afternoon peaks at 25-26°C amid mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds. Recent observations confirm early May warming trends, with May 15's high nearing 25°C as predicted, up from 22-24°C earlier in the week, aligning with seasonal climatology where Shanghai averages 24-25°C highs influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition and urban heat island effects adding 1-2°C. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze intensification capping at 25°C versus prolonged solar heating pushing to 26°C; new evening model runs will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न