Latest National Weather Service and model guidance projects a daily high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible. This places the 88°F-or-higher outcome in the lead at 54.5 percent implied probability, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average high reaches the mid-80s and recent ensemble runs show limited spread around that value. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by a degree or two if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the 48-hour temperature guidance for further adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
88°F or higher 55%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 5.5%
82-83°F 1.2%
नया
$11,874 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,874 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
24%
88°F or higher
55%
88°F or higher 55%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 5.5%
82-83°F 1.2%
नया
$11,874 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,874 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
69°F or below
$506 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$3,302 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$4,628 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$520 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$521 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$385 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$354 वॉल्यूम
1%
82-83°F
$305 वॉल्यूम
1%
84-85°F
$97 वॉल्यूम
6%
86-87°F
$262 वॉल्यूम
24%
88°F or higher
$994 वॉल्यूम
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance projects a daily high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible. This places the 88°F-or-higher outcome in the lead at 54.5 percent implied probability, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average high reaches the mid-80s and recent ensemble runs show limited spread around that value. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by a degree or two if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the 48-hour temperature guidance for further adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,874समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance projects a daily high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible. This places the 88°F-or-higher outcome in the lead at 54.5 percent implied probability, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average high reaches the mid-80s and recent ensemble runs show limited spread around that value. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by a degree or two if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the 48-hour temperature guidance for further adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$11,874समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance projects a daily high near 88°F in Austin on May 17, supported by southerly flow advecting warmer Gulf air under partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible. This places the 88°F-or-higher outcome in the lead at 54.5 percent implied probability, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average high reaches the mid-80s and recent ensemble runs show limited spread around that value. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could trim the peak by a degree or two if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the 48-hour temperature guidance for further adjustments ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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