Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 14°C at 34.5% and 15°C at 32.5% for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a persistent upper-level trough over northern Italy ushering cool northerly airflow and overcast skies. Recent ARPA Lombardia observations confirm scattered precipitation and low cloud decks suppressing daytime insolation and diurnal heating well below May climatological highs of 22–24°C, following an early-month cold anomaly. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud persistence—favoring 14°C by limiting solar input—versus partial clearing enabling slight warm-up to 15–16°C, with resolution based on Milan Malpensa Airport measurements. Watch 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
14°C 35%
15°C 33%
16°C 22%
17°C 9%
नया
$30,244 वॉल्यूम
नया
$30,244 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
35%
15°C
33%
16°C
22%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
15°C 33%
16°C 22%
17°C 9%
नया
$30,244 वॉल्यूम
नया
$30,244 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
9°C or below
$780 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$2,784 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$1,886 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$2,381 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$2,905 वॉल्यूम
5%
14°C
$2,735 वॉल्यूम
35%
15°C
$2,386 वॉल्यूम
33%
16°C
$2,166 वॉल्यूम
22%
17°C
$3,464 वॉल्यूम
9%
18°C
$4,067 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C or higher
$4,702 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 14°C at 34.5% and 15°C at 32.5% for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a persistent upper-level trough over northern Italy ushering cool northerly airflow and overcast skies. Recent ARPA Lombardia observations confirm scattered precipitation and low cloud decks suppressing daytime insolation and diurnal heating well below May climatological highs of 22–24°C, following an early-month cold anomaly. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud persistence—favoring 14°C by limiting solar input—versus partial clearing enabling slight warm-up to 15–16°C, with resolution based on Milan Malpensa Airport measurements. Watch 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,244समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 14°C at 34.5% and 15°C at 32.5% for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a persistent upper-level trough over northern Italy ushering cool northerly airflow and overcast skies. Recent ARPA Lombardia observations confirm scattered precipitation and low cloud decks suppressing daytime insolation and diurnal heating well below May climatological highs of 22–24°C, following an early-month cold anomaly. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud persistence—favoring 14°C by limiting solar input—versus partial clearing enabling slight warm-up to 15–16°C, with resolution based on Milan Malpensa Airport measurements. Watch 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$30,244समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 14°C at 34.5% and 15°C at 32.5% for Milan's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting genuine uncertainty in ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts amid a persistent upper-level trough over northern Italy ushering cool northerly airflow and overcast skies. Recent ARPA Lombardia observations confirm scattered precipitation and low cloud decks suppressing daytime insolation and diurnal heating well below May climatological highs of 22–24°C, following an early-month cold anomaly. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud persistence—favoring 14°C by limiting solar input—versus partial clearing enabling slight warm-up to 15–16°C, with resolution based on Milan Malpensa Airport measurements. Watch 12Z model runs today for potential shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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