Trader consensus favors six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide this week, driven by ongoing USGS global seismic monitoring that records moderate activity concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent catalog data show clusters near the Philippines, Indonesia, and offshore New Zealand, with no major M6.5+ events yet confirmed in the May 11–17 window. This positioning aligns with historical USGS patterns, where quiet weeks below the typical 10–15 weekly average occur roughly 35–40% of the time, though model runs and real-time detection continue to track aftershocks and potential triggering along active subduction zones. Resolution hinges on the final USGS ComCat tally through May 17, with any late-week M5.5+ detections in high-seismicity regions like Tonga or Japan likely to shift counts toward seven or eight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 38%
7 35.7%
8 17.4%
>9 15.0%
$114,429 वॉल्यूम
$114,429 वॉल्यूम
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
45%
7
31%
8
17%
9
5%
>9
12%
6 38%
7 35.7%
8 17.4%
>9 15.0%
$114,429 वॉल्यूम
$114,429 वॉल्यूम
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
45%
7
31%
8
17%
9
5%
>9
12%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors six magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide this week, driven by ongoing USGS global seismic monitoring that records moderate activity concentrated along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent catalog data show clusters near the Philippines, Indonesia, and offshore New Zealand, with no major M6.5+ events yet confirmed in the May 11–17 window. This positioning aligns with historical USGS patterns, where quiet weeks below the typical 10–15 weekly average occur roughly 35–40% of the time, though model runs and real-time detection continue to track aftershocks and potential triggering along active subduction zones. Resolution hinges on the final USGS ComCat tally through May 17, with any late-week M5.5+ detections in high-seismicity regions like Tonga or Japan likely to shift counts toward seven or eight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न