Recent seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire has produced five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including a 7.5 near Tonga in March, a 7.4 off Indonesia in early April, and another 7.4 near Japan on April 20, according to USGS catalogs. This early-year cluster aligns with the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, yet a four-week lull since late April leaves traders assessing whether the pace will sustain or drop. USGS real-time monitoring reports no elevated precursors on major subduction zones, and earthquake timing follows Poisson statistics with inherent short-term randomness. Continuous catalog updates from the USGS and any new M6+ activity could shift odds quickly as the year progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएक और 7.0 या उससे ऊपर का भूकंप...?
एक और 7.0 या उससे ऊपर का भूकंप...?
$26,966 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
15 मई
<1%
30 मई
41%
$26,966 वॉल्यूम
15 मई
$4,830 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30 मई
$8,889 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire has produced five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including a 7.5 near Tonga in March, a 7.4 off Indonesia in early April, and another 7.4 near Japan on April 20, according to USGS catalogs. This early-year cluster aligns with the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, yet a four-week lull since late April leaves traders assessing whether the pace will sustain or drop. USGS real-time monitoring reports no elevated precursors on major subduction zones, and earthquake timing follows Poisson statistics with inherent short-term randomness. Continuous catalog updates from the USGS and any new M6+ activity could shift odds quickly as the year progresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,966समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire has produced five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including a 7.5 near Tonga in March, a 7.4 off Indonesia in early April, and another 7.4 near Japan on April 20, according to USGS catalogs. This early-year cluster aligns with the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, yet a four-week lull since late April leaves traders assessing whether the pace will sustain or drop. USGS real-time monitoring reports no elevated precursors on major subduction zones, and earthquake timing follows Poisson statistics with inherent short-term randomness. Continuous catalog updates from the USGS and any new M6+ activity could shift odds quickly as the year progresses.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$26,966समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire has produced five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, including a 7.5 near Tonga in March, a 7.4 off Indonesia in early April, and another 7.4 near Japan on April 20, according to USGS catalogs. This early-year cluster aligns with the long-term global average of roughly 15–16 such events annually, yet a four-week lull since late April leaves traders assessing whether the pace will sustain or drop. USGS real-time monitoring reports no elevated precursors on major subduction zones, and earthquake timing follows Poisson statistics with inherent short-term randomness. Continuous catalog updates from the USGS and any new M6+ activity could shift odds quickly as the year progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न