Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's May 15 high temperature, with models like the China Meteorological Administration forecasting 27°C amid moderate rain and mostly cloudy skies, yet probabilities favoring 24°C (leading at 30.5%) due to potential cooling from morning showers and high humidity suppressing diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs—earlier projections trended warmer (near 28°C), but recent updates emphasize cloud cover persistence, echoing recent days' actuals around 25–30°C that fell short of sunnier analogs. Historical May rainy days in Chongqing average 2–3°C below baselines, amplifying doubt on exceeding 26°C. Watch afternoon soundings and CMA evening briefings for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
22%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 30%
23°C 26%
25°C 22%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
17°C or below
$912 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$1,009 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$967 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$730 वॉल्यूम
3%
22°C
$139 वॉल्यूम
11%
23°C
$314 वॉल्यूम
26%
24°C
$322 वॉल्यूम
30%
25°C
$125 वॉल्यूम
22%
26°C
$653 वॉल्यूम
8%
27°C or higher
$2,259 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's May 15 high temperature, with models like the China Meteorological Administration forecasting 27°C amid moderate rain and mostly cloudy skies, yet probabilities favoring 24°C (leading at 30.5%) due to potential cooling from morning showers and high humidity suppressing diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs—earlier projections trended warmer (near 28°C), but recent updates emphasize cloud cover persistence, echoing recent days' actuals around 25–30°C that fell short of sunnier analogs. Historical May rainy days in Chongqing average 2–3°C below baselines, amplifying doubt on exceeding 26°C. Watch afternoon soundings and CMA evening briefings for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,468समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's May 15 high temperature, with models like the China Meteorological Administration forecasting 27°C amid moderate rain and mostly cloudy skies, yet probabilities favoring 24°C (leading at 30.5%) due to potential cooling from morning showers and high humidity suppressing diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs—earlier projections trended warmer (near 28°C), but recent updates emphasize cloud cover persistence, echoing recent days' actuals around 25–30°C that fell short of sunnier analogs. Historical May rainy days in Chongqing average 2–3°C below baselines, amplifying doubt on exceeding 26°C. Watch afternoon soundings and CMA evening briefings for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$7,468समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Chongqing's May 15 high temperature, with models like the China Meteorological Administration forecasting 27°C amid moderate rain and mostly cloudy skies, yet probabilities favoring 24°C (leading at 30.5%) due to potential cooling from morning showers and high humidity suppressing diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include slight ensemble spreads across ECMWF and GFS runs—earlier projections trended warmer (near 28°C), but recent updates emphasize cloud cover persistence, echoing recent days' actuals around 25–30°C that fell short of sunnier analogs. Historical May rainy days in Chongqing average 2–3°C below baselines, amplifying doubt on exceeding 26°C. Watch afternoon soundings and CMA evening briefings for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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