Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$128,203 वॉल्यूम
$128,203 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$128,203 वॉल्यूम
$128,203 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
53°F or below
$9,533 वॉल्यूम
No
54-55°F
$17,067 वॉल्यूम
No
56-57°F
$15,206 वॉल्यूम
Yes
58-59°F
$8,220 वॉल्यूम
No
60-61°F
$9,287 वॉल्यूम
No
62-63°F
$7,889 वॉल्यूम
No
64-65°F
$6,680 वॉल्यूम
No
66-67°F
$8,453 वॉल्यूम
No
68-69°F
$5,466 वॉल्यूम
No
70-71°F
$4,689 वॉल्यूम
No
72°F or higher
$35,711 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$128,203समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$128,203समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 13 at 56-57°F, backed by official observational data from the National Weather Service at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard station for such resolutions. This outcome stems from a sharp cool-down after early May record highs of 81°F on May 4, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge that enabled persistent onshore flow, cool Pacific air advection, and low-level marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited solar insolation and temperatures stuck in the mid-50s amid typical May climatology (average high ~64°F). Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or disputes over measurement site compliance, though none are currently indicated.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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