Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 22%
62-63°F 8.7%
60-61°F 2.0%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
22%
66°F or higher
74%
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 22%
62-63°F 8.7%
60-61°F 2.0%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
47°F or below
$982 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48-49°F
$548 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-51°F
$553 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52-53°F
$613 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$1,324 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56-57°F
$901 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$363 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$229 वॉल्यूम
2%
62-63°F
$576 वॉल्यूम
9%
64-65°F
$225 वॉल्यूम
22%
66°F or higher
$258 वॉल्यूम
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,571समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,571समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न