Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by a recent streak of consistent 31–32°C daily highs at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport through early May, amid above-climatological norms for the onset of the wet season. Forecast model ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and global guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with highs clustering around 30–32°C (86–90°F), supported by warm sea surface temperatures and reduced convective suppression, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 30–31°C as priced at 36.5% and 35.5%. Historical May averages hover near 30°C, but minimal disruptions from recent cloud timing have bolstered optimism for heat; monitor IMHPA updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 17%
30°C 6.5%
29°C 1.4%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
81%
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 17%
30°C 6.5%
29°C 1.4%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
22°C or below
$911 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$428 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$552 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$277 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$440 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$300 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$503 वॉल्यूम
7%
31°C
$411 वॉल्यूम
17%
32°C or higher
$322 वॉल्यूम
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by a recent streak of consistent 31–32°C daily highs at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport through early May, amid above-climatological norms for the onset of the wet season. Forecast model ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and global guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with highs clustering around 30–32°C (86–90°F), supported by warm sea surface temperatures and reduced convective suppression, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 30–31°C as priced at 36.5% and 35.5%. Historical May averages hover near 30°C, but minimal disruptions from recent cloud timing have bolstered optimism for heat; monitor IMHPA updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,135समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by a recent streak of consistent 31–32°C daily highs at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport through early May, amid above-climatological norms for the onset of the wet season. Forecast model ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and global guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with highs clustering around 30–32°C (86–90°F), supported by warm sea surface temperatures and reduced convective suppression, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 30–31°C as priced at 36.5% and 35.5%. Historical May averages hover near 30°C, but minimal disruptions from recent cloud timing have bolstered optimism for heat; monitor IMHPA updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$5,135समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 51% implied probability for 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 15, driven by a recent streak of consistent 31–32°C daily highs at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport through early May, amid above-climatological norms for the onset of the wet season. Forecast model ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and global guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with highs clustering around 30–32°C (86–90°F), supported by warm sea surface temperatures and reduced convective suppression, though scattered thunderstorms could cap peaks at 30–31°C as priced at 36.5% and 35.5%. Historical May averages hover near 30°C, but minimal disruptions from recent cloud timing have bolstered optimism for heat; monitor IMHPA updates and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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