Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 वॉल्यूम
$90,556 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 वॉल्यूम
$90,556 वॉल्यूम
13 मई, 2026
18°C or below
$12,327 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$7,657 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$23,855 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$7,807 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$8,603 वॉल्यूम
Yes
23°C
$7,151 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$4,976 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$4,488 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$4,234 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$4,678 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C or higher
$4,779 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$90,556समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$90,556समाप्ति तिथि
13 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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