Latest forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an overnight low near 18°C in Tokyo on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows average minimums of 15–17°C, yet current model consensus and recent surface observations support a slightly warmer outcome as warm maritime air lingers without significant cold advection from the northwest. Traders have priced 18°C at 95% implied probability because official station data from central Tokyo and Haneda consistently track this range. A late-model shift introducing stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight could still push the reading down to 17°C or lower before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 96%
17°C 5%
15°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
$10,923 वॉल्यूम
$10,923 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
5%
18°C
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
18°C 96%
17°C 5%
15°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
$10,923 वॉल्यूम
$10,923 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
5%
18°C
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to an overnight low near 18°C in Tokyo on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows average minimums of 15–17°C, yet current model consensus and recent surface observations support a slightly warmer outcome as warm maritime air lingers without significant cold advection from the northwest. Traders have priced 18°C at 95% implied probability because official station data from central Tokyo and Haneda consistently track this range. A late-model shift introducing stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight could still push the reading down to 17°C or lower before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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