Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (42.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15 at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), per NOAA hourly observations, reflecting model uncertainty amid a sharp cooling trend from 34°C inland peaks on May 12 under a fading high-pressure ridge. Latest ECMWF and GFS ensembles project daytime highs near 25°C, moderated by overcast skies, westerly winds, and sea breeze intensification, though Israel Meteorological Service forecasts a lower 23°C peak. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud persistence versus potential clearing and sea breeze timing, which could elevate the maximum by 1°C; historical May averages hover at 26–27°C. Monitor LLBG real-time data and evening model updates for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 मई को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 51%
26°C 46%
27°C 9%
28°C 2.3%
$24,458 वॉल्यूम
$24,458 वॉल्यूम
25°C
51%
26°C
42%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C या इससे अधिक
1%
25°C 51%
26°C 46%
27°C 9%
28°C 2.3%
$24,458 वॉल्यूम
$24,458 वॉल्यूम
25°C
51%
26°C
42%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C या इससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26°C (42.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15 at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), per NOAA hourly observations, reflecting model uncertainty amid a sharp cooling trend from 34°C inland peaks on May 12 under a fading high-pressure ridge. Latest ECMWF and GFS ensembles project daytime highs near 25°C, moderated by overcast skies, westerly winds, and sea breeze intensification, though Israel Meteorological Service forecasts a lower 23°C peak. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud persistence versus potential clearing and sea breeze timing, which could elevate the maximum by 1°C; historical May averages hover at 26–27°C. Monitor LLBG real-time data and evening model updates for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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