Stable high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula is anchoring mild conditions for Madrid on May 17, with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs converging on a daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Persistent northerly flow and limited insolation from residual cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with the 21 °C peak recorded at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 14. These factors keep the market-implied probabilities highest for 22 °C (39 %) and 23 °C (25.5 %), while climatological mid-May averages of 23–24 °C remain just out of reach unless ridge breakdown occurs overnight. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
17 मई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
22°C 40%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
24°C 11%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
20%
22°C
40%
23°C
25%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
24°C 11%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
17°C or below
$1,103 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$424 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$500 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$510 वॉल्यूम
6%
21°C
$1,166 वॉल्यूम
20%
22°C
$858 वॉल्यूम
40%
23°C
$507 वॉल्यूम
25%
24°C
$373 वॉल्यूम
11%
25°C
$396 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$218 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C or higher
$156 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula is anchoring mild conditions for Madrid on May 17, with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs converging on a daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Persistent northerly flow and limited insolation from residual cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with the 21 °C peak recorded at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 14. These factors keep the market-implied probabilities highest for 22 °C (39 %) and 23 °C (25.5 %), while climatological mid-May averages of 23–24 °C remain just out of reach unless ridge breakdown occurs overnight. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,211समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula is anchoring mild conditions for Madrid on May 17, with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs converging on a daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Persistent northerly flow and limited insolation from residual cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with the 21 °C peak recorded at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 14. These factors keep the market-implied probabilities highest for 22 °C (39 %) and 23 °C (25.5 %), while climatological mid-May averages of 23–24 °C remain just out of reach unless ridge breakdown occurs overnight. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,211समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStable high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula is anchoring mild conditions for Madrid on May 17, with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs converging on a daily maximum near 22–23 °C. Persistent northerly flow and limited insolation from residual cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with the 21 °C peak recorded at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport on May 14. These factors keep the market-implied probabilities highest for 22 °C (39 %) and 23 °C (25.5 %), while climatological mid-May averages of 23–24 °C remain just out of reach unless ridge breakdown occurs overnight. Official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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