Latest forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show daytime highs in Taipei on May 17 centered on 29–31 °C, driven by a moist southerly flow ahead of the early Meiyu frontal boundary that limits full solar heating while still allowing afternoon temperatures to reach seasonal norms. Model runs indicate modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which explains why 29 °C and 30 °C share nearly equal implied probabilities near 28 % while 31 °C trails at 22.5 %. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30 °C, but the current setup—persistent humidity above 80 % and light winds—narrows the range and reduces odds for extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. The next official guidance update overnight will likely refine these boundaries before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को ताइपे में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 27%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
24%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
24%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration show daytime highs in Taipei on May 17 centered on 29–31 °C, driven by a moist southerly flow ahead of the early Meiyu frontal boundary that limits full solar heating while still allowing afternoon temperatures to reach seasonal norms. Model runs indicate modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which explains why 29 °C and 30 °C share nearly equal implied probabilities near 28 % while 31 °C trails at 22.5 %. Historical May climatology places average highs around 28–30 °C, but the current setup—persistent humidity above 80 % and light winds—narrows the range and reduces odds for extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. The next official guidance update overnight will likely refine these boundaries before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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