Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models, updated as of May 15, project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 near 15°C under mostly clear skies and light winds at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C at 53% and 16°C at 30% implied probabilities. A warmer-than-average 2026 spring, following early May showers, has moderated daytime highs to around 30–32°C, constraining nocturnal cooling despite radiative losses from clear conditions; Seoul's urban heat island effect further tempers extremes toward the 14–17°C range, consistent with mid-May climatological medians of 14–15°C. Uncertainty hinges on overnight cloud development, which could enhance trapping for 16°C+ or permit deeper cooling to 14°C or below. Monitor KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of morning low observation between 3–9 a.m. KST.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 35%
16°C 12%
14°C 9%
13°C या उससे कम 8.4%
$13,244 वॉल्यूम
$13,244 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
8%
14°C
9%
15°C
60%
16°C
30%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या अधिक
<1%
15°C 35%
16°C 12%
14°C 9%
13°C या उससे कम 8.4%
$13,244 वॉल्यूम
$13,244 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$578 वॉल्यूम
8%
14°C
$428 वॉल्यूम
9%
15°C
$120 वॉल्यूम
60%
16°C
$185 वॉल्यूम
30%
17°C
$553 वॉल्यूम
8%
18°C
$1,563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,496 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$1,330 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,464 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$1,090 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C या अधिक
$4,437 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models, updated as of May 15, project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 near 15°C under mostly clear skies and light winds at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C at 53% and 16°C at 30% implied probabilities. A warmer-than-average 2026 spring, following early May showers, has moderated daytime highs to around 30–32°C, constraining nocturnal cooling despite radiative losses from clear conditions; Seoul's urban heat island effect further tempers extremes toward the 14–17°C range, consistent with mid-May climatological medians of 14–15°C. Uncertainty hinges on overnight cloud development, which could enhance trapping for 16°C+ or permit deeper cooling to 14°C or below. Monitor KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of morning low observation between 3–9 a.m. KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,244समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models, updated as of May 15, project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 near 15°C under mostly clear skies and light winds at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C at 53% and 16°C at 30% implied probabilities. A warmer-than-average 2026 spring, following early May showers, has moderated daytime highs to around 30–32°C, constraining nocturnal cooling despite radiative losses from clear conditions; Seoul's urban heat island effect further tempers extremes toward the 14–17°C range, consistent with mid-May climatological medians of 14–15°C. Uncertainty hinges on overnight cloud development, which could enhance trapping for 16°C+ or permit deeper cooling to 14°C or below. Monitor KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of morning low observation between 3–9 a.m. KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$13,244समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models, updated as of May 15, project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 near 15°C under mostly clear skies and light winds at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's resolution source—anchoring trader sentiment with 15°C at 53% and 16°C at 30% implied probabilities. A warmer-than-average 2026 spring, following early May showers, has moderated daytime highs to around 30–32°C, constraining nocturnal cooling despite radiative losses from clear conditions; Seoul's urban heat island effect further tempers extremes toward the 14–17°C range, consistent with mid-May climatological medians of 14–15°C. Uncertainty hinges on overnight cloud development, which could enhance trapping for 16°C+ or permit deeper cooling to 14°C or below. Monitor KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of morning low observation between 3–9 a.m. KST.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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