Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 will likely stay at or below 40 °C, driven by persistent pre-monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh that has suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with IMD’s broader outlook for below-normal May temperatures in northern India amid above-average precipitation, keeping conditions cooler than the seasonal average of 39–42 °C. Current observational data from the past week show daily highs hovering near 37–38 °C with no strengthening heatwave signals for the Lucknow region, while model consensus continues to favor stable atmospheric moisture that limits intensification. Traders have priced 41 °C or below at 87.5 % implied probability, reflecting these verified trends and the low likelihood of rapid warming before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
41°C or below 88%
42°C 13%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.0%
41°C or below
88%
42°C
13%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 88%
42°C 13%
43°C 2.6%
44°C 1.0%
41°C or below
88%
42°C
13%
43°C
3%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 17 will likely stay at or below 40 °C, driven by persistent pre-monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh that has suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with IMD’s broader outlook for below-normal May temperatures in northern India amid above-average precipitation, keeping conditions cooler than the seasonal average of 39–42 °C. Current observational data from the past week show daily highs hovering near 37–38 °C with no strengthening heatwave signals for the Lucknow region, while model consensus continues to favor stable atmospheric moisture that limits intensification. Traders have priced 41 °C or below at 87.5 % implied probability, reflecting these verified trends and the low likelihood of rapid warming before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न