Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 18, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% for 42°C or below. Lingering cloud cover and residual moisture from early-May western disturbances have suppressed peak heating, keeping readings 2–4°C below typical mid-May climatology of 40–43°C. Model consensus from IMD and global ensembles shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with steering patterns favoring continued moderation rather than rapid warming. New official bulletins expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities if dry conditions strengthen.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
42°C or below 75%
43°C 22%
44°C 5.1%
45°C 2.0%
42°C or below
75%
43°C
22%
44°C
5%
45°C
2%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 75%
43°C 22%
44°C 5.1%
45°C 2.0%
42°C or below
75%
43°C
22%
44°C
5%
45°C
2%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 18, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% for 42°C or below. Lingering cloud cover and residual moisture from early-May western disturbances have suppressed peak heating, keeping readings 2–4°C below typical mid-May climatology of 40–43°C. Model consensus from IMD and global ensembles shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with steering patterns favoring continued moderation rather than rapid warming. New official bulletins expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities if dry conditions strengthen.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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