National Weather Service forecast ensembles and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 16 reaching the mid-60s to low-70s°F, well above the 56°F threshold dominating at 99.9% market-implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and seasonal warming. Climatological normals confirm an average high of 70.6°F for the date at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution station, with recent days featuring similar mild conditions absent any cold fronts. This near-unanimous trader consensus underscores model agreement amid low uncertainty two days out. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen jet stream dip ushering Arctic air or intensified Lake Michigan lake breeze moderation dropping temps 10-15°F, though current patterns make these improbable; watch NWS updates Friday for refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
नया
$10,507 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,507 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
नया
$10,507 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,507 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
37°F or below
$1,341 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38-39°F
$1,071 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-41°F
$1,240 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42-43°F
$726 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44-45°F
$973 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46-47°F
$1,177 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48-49°F
$926 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-51°F
$726 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52-53°F
$471 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$863 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56°F or higher
$994 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast ensembles and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 16 reaching the mid-60s to low-70s°F, well above the 56°F threshold dominating at 99.9% market-implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and seasonal warming. Climatological normals confirm an average high of 70.6°F for the date at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution station, with recent days featuring similar mild conditions absent any cold fronts. This near-unanimous trader consensus underscores model agreement amid low uncertainty two days out. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen jet stream dip ushering Arctic air or intensified Lake Michigan lake breeze moderation dropping temps 10-15°F, though current patterns make these improbable; watch NWS updates Friday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,507समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast ensembles and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 16 reaching the mid-60s to low-70s°F, well above the 56°F threshold dominating at 99.9% market-implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and seasonal warming. Climatological normals confirm an average high of 70.6°F for the date at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution station, with recent days featuring similar mild conditions absent any cold fronts. This near-unanimous trader consensus underscores model agreement amid low uncertainty two days out. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen jet stream dip ushering Arctic air or intensified Lake Michigan lake breeze moderation dropping temps 10-15°F, though current patterns make these improbable; watch NWS updates Friday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$10,507समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast ensembles and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 16 reaching the mid-60s to low-70s°F, well above the 56°F threshold dominating at 99.9% market-implied probability, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly flow and seasonal warming. Climatological normals confirm an average high of 70.6°F for the date at O'Hare International Airport, the likely resolution station, with recent days featuring similar mild conditions absent any cold fronts. This near-unanimous trader consensus underscores model agreement amid low uncertainty two days out. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen jet stream dip ushering Arctic air or intensified Lake Michigan lake breeze moderation dropping temps 10-15°F, though current patterns make these improbable; watch NWS updates Friday for refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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