Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a high of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14, driven by strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 60°F amid building high pressure and light southerly flow following today's brief cool front. This reflects mid-May climatology at Chicago O'Hare—where the market resolves—with a normal high of 69.9°F, enhanced by seasonal solar heating and minimal Lake Michigan cooling influence under mostly sunny skies. Recent 48-hour model runs have converged tightly on mild conditions, boosting confidence. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of cool Canadian air or intensified lake breeze suppressing peaks below 56°F, though current upper-air patterns make these unlikely; monitor NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
नया
$47,025 वॉल्यूम
नया
$47,025 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
नया
$47,025 वॉल्यूम
नया
$47,025 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
37°F or below
$5,479 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-41°F
$701 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48-49°F
$3,181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52-53°F
$2,804 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$4,465 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,368 वॉल्यूम
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a high of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14, driven by strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 60°F amid building high pressure and light southerly flow following today's brief cool front. This reflects mid-May climatology at Chicago O'Hare—where the market resolves—with a normal high of 69.9°F, enhanced by seasonal solar heating and minimal Lake Michigan cooling influence under mostly sunny skies. Recent 48-hour model runs have converged tightly on mild conditions, boosting confidence. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of cool Canadian air or intensified lake breeze suppressing peaks below 56°F, though current upper-air patterns make these unlikely; monitor NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,025समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a high of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14, driven by strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 60°F amid building high pressure and light southerly flow following today's brief cool front. This reflects mid-May climatology at Chicago O'Hare—where the market resolves—with a normal high of 69.9°F, enhanced by seasonal solar heating and minimal Lake Michigan cooling influence under mostly sunny skies. Recent 48-hour model runs have converged tightly on mild conditions, boosting confidence. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of cool Canadian air or intensified lake breeze suppressing peaks below 56°F, though current upper-air patterns make these unlikely; monitor NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$47,025समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a high of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 14, driven by strong alignment across National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 60°F amid building high pressure and light southerly flow following today's brief cool front. This reflects mid-May climatology at Chicago O'Hare—where the market resolves—with a normal high of 69.9°F, enhanced by seasonal solar heating and minimal Lake Michigan cooling influence under mostly sunny skies. Recent 48-hour model runs have converged tightly on mild conditions, boosting confidence. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of cool Canadian air or intensified lake breeze suppressing peaks below 56°F, though current upper-air patterns make these unlikely; monitor NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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