Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and centering the expected daily maximum near 15–16°C. Persistent stratus reduces incoming shortwave radiation while minimal vertical mixing keeps surface temperatures from rising sharply, aligning with the market’s tight split between the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Brief sun breaks or modest changes in cloud thickness could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty reflected in the lower-probability 17°C and 14°C shares. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 39%
15°C 38%
17°C 12%
14°C 4.0%
$42,987 वॉल्यूम
$42,987 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
39%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 39%
15°C 38%
17°C 12%
14°C 4.0%
$42,987 वॉल्यूम
$42,987 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
38%
16°C
39%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, limiting solar heating and centering the expected daily maximum near 15–16°C. Persistent stratus reduces incoming shortwave radiation while minimal vertical mixing keeps surface temperatures from rising sharply, aligning with the market’s tight split between the 15°C and 16°C outcomes. Brief sun breaks or modest changes in cloud thickness could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the observed uncertainty reflected in the lower-probability 17°C and 14°C shares. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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