Current ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
18%
15°C
30%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 18%
14°C 18%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
18%
15°C
30%
16°C
34%
17°C
17%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate a daytime high of 15–16°C on May 18 under mild spring conditions driven by moderate southwesterly flow from the Atlantic. Variable cloud cover and isolated light showers are expected to limit solar heating, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited potential for afternoon clearing that could push readings to 17°C, while persistent low stratus or earlier precipitation would favor a 15°C peak. These near-term dynamics explain the tight market split between the two leading outcomes, with fresh 48-hour model runs from European centers remaining the key variable for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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