Recent ensemble forecasts from global models reveal substantial uncertainty in Tokyo's minimum temperature on May 21, with projected lows spanning roughly 12–22°C depending on the timing of a weak frontal passage and overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Typical May climatology places average lows near 16°C, yet current synoptic patterns show a split between cooler maritime air advection and warmer subtropical ridging, producing the market's near-even odds between sub-11°C and 21°C-plus outcomes. Japan Meteorological Agency updates over the next 48 hours, along with refined high-resolution model runs, will likely narrow this spread as the event window approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C या उससे नीचे 80%
21°C या उससे अधिक 41%
16°C 18%
18°C 18%
नया
नया
21 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे नीचे
80%
12°C
10%
13°C
11%
14°C
16%
15°C
14%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
15%
20°C
7%
21°C या उससे अधिक
41%
11°C या उससे नीचे 80%
21°C या उससे अधिक 41%
16°C 18%
18°C 18%
नया
नया
21 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे नीचे
$18 वॉल्यूम
80%
12°C
$267 वॉल्यूम
10%
13°C
$55 वॉल्यूम
11%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
21°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models reveal substantial uncertainty in Tokyo's minimum temperature on May 21, with projected lows spanning roughly 12–22°C depending on the timing of a weak frontal passage and overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Typical May climatology places average lows near 16°C, yet current synoptic patterns show a split between cooler maritime air advection and warmer subtropical ridging, producing the market's near-even odds between sub-11°C and 21°C-plus outcomes. Japan Meteorological Agency updates over the next 48 hours, along with refined high-resolution model runs, will likely narrow this spread as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$350समाप्ति तिथि
21 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models reveal substantial uncertainty in Tokyo's minimum temperature on May 21, with projected lows spanning roughly 12–22°C depending on the timing of a weak frontal passage and overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Typical May climatology places average lows near 16°C, yet current synoptic patterns show a split between cooler maritime air advection and warmer subtropical ridging, producing the market's near-even odds between sub-11°C and 21°C-plus outcomes. Japan Meteorological Agency updates over the next 48 hours, along with refined high-resolution model runs, will likely narrow this spread as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$350समाप्ति तिथि
21 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models reveal substantial uncertainty in Tokyo's minimum temperature on May 21, with projected lows spanning roughly 12–22°C depending on the timing of a weak frontal passage and overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Typical May climatology places average lows near 16°C, yet current synoptic patterns show a split between cooler maritime air advection and warmer subtropical ridging, producing the market's near-even odds between sub-11°C and 21°C-plus outcomes. Japan Meteorological Agency updates over the next 48 hours, along with refined high-resolution model runs, will likely narrow this spread as the event window approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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