Current medium-range ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows substantial spread in overnight lows for New York City on May 21, with possible Central Park minimums ranging from the upper 40s under clear, calm conditions to the mid-60s amid stronger southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This uncertainty at a four-day lead time drives the near-even market split between 68°F or higher and 49°F or below, as traders weigh radiative cooling potential against evolving Atlantic moisture and jet-stream positioning. Historical mid-May climatology centers around 53–55°F, but recent model runs indicate possible deviations tied to the strength of any incoming high-pressure ridge. Fresh National Weather Service updates and updated ensemble means expected within the next 48 hours should tighten the distribution and shift probabilities accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
68°F या उससे अधिक 41%
49°F या उससे कम 32%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 21%
नया
नया
21 मई, 2026
49°F या उससे कम
32%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
6%
68°F या उससे अधिक
41%
68°F या उससे अधिक 41%
49°F या उससे कम 32%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 21%
नया
नया
21 मई, 2026
49°F या उससे कम
$18 वॉल्यूम
32%
50-51°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
52-53°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
54-55°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
56-57°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
58-59°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
60-61°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
62-63°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
64-65°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
66-67°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
68°F या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current medium-range ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows substantial spread in overnight lows for New York City on May 21, with possible Central Park minimums ranging from the upper 40s under clear, calm conditions to the mid-60s amid stronger southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This uncertainty at a four-day lead time drives the near-even market split between 68°F or higher and 49°F or below, as traders weigh radiative cooling potential against evolving Atlantic moisture and jet-stream positioning. Historical mid-May climatology centers around 53–55°F, but recent model runs indicate possible deviations tied to the strength of any incoming high-pressure ridge. Fresh National Weather Service updates and updated ensemble means expected within the next 48 hours should tighten the distribution and shift probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28समाप्ति तिथि
21 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current medium-range ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows substantial spread in overnight lows for New York City on May 21, with possible Central Park minimums ranging from the upper 40s under clear, calm conditions to the mid-60s amid stronger southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This uncertainty at a four-day lead time drives the near-even market split between 68°F or higher and 49°F or below, as traders weigh radiative cooling potential against evolving Atlantic moisture and jet-stream positioning. Historical mid-May climatology centers around 53–55°F, but recent model runs indicate possible deviations tied to the strength of any incoming high-pressure ridge. Fresh National Weather Service updates and updated ensemble means expected within the next 48 hours should tighten the distribution and shift probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$28समाप्ति तिथि
21 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent medium-range ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows substantial spread in overnight lows for New York City on May 21, with possible Central Park minimums ranging from the upper 40s under clear, calm conditions to the mid-60s amid stronger southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This uncertainty at a four-day lead time drives the near-even market split between 68°F or higher and 49°F or below, as traders weigh radiative cooling potential against evolving Atlantic moisture and jet-stream positioning. Historical mid-May climatology centers around 53–55°F, but recent model runs indicate possible deviations tied to the strength of any incoming high-pressure ridge. Fresh National Weather Service updates and updated ensemble means expected within the next 48 hours should tighten the distribution and shift probabilities accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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