Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 33%
15°C 31%
17°C 21%
14°C 17%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
17%
15°C
31%
16°C
33%
17°C
21%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 33%
15°C 31%
17°C 21%
14°C 17%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
10°C or below
$338 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$301 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$328 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$188 वॉल्यूम
5%
14°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
17%
15°C
$132 वॉल्यूम
31%
16°C
$77 वॉल्यूम
33%
17°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
21%
18°C
$83 वॉल्यूम
3%
19°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C or higher
$118 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,840समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,840समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with market-implied odds peaking at 28.5% for 16°C, reflects the UK Met Office's latest forecast of a 17°C maximum in London on May 17 amid persistent cloud cover and light morning showers easing later, capping diurnal heating. Recent days saw highs of 14-16°C under cool northerly airflow and unstable conditions, but a slight shift to westerly winds introduces marginal warming potential. Key differentiators include cloud thickness—thicker overcast favors 15°C outcomes, while breaks could boost to 18-20°C—and shower coverage, per ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads. Historical mid-May averages hover around 16-17°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch 06Z/12Z model updates Saturday for shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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