Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 मई को मियामी में सबसे कम तापमान?
73°F या उससे कम 43%
92°F या अधिक 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
73°F या उससे कम
43%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°फ़ारेनहाइट
17%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
11%
92°F या अधिक
41%
73°F या उससे कम 43%
92°F या अधिक 41%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
73°F या उससे कम
43%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°फ़ारेनहाइट
17%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
11%
92°F या अधिक
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles show Miami's overnight minimum on May 21 hovering near the long-term May average of 76°F, yet spread across 74–80°F due to uncertain steering flow and potential weak frontal passages. This variability explains the tightly contested market-implied odds, with substantial probability mass on both sub-73°F outcomes and much warmer readings above 92°F that would require unusually strong warm advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 80°F and typical subtropical moisture levels set a narrow historical envelope for daily minima, while upcoming 48-hour GFS and ECMWF updates will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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