Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
23 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 51%
28°C 39%
26°C 11%
25°C 4%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
51%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 39%
26°C 11%
25°C 4%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$26 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$142 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$152 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
11%
27°C
$3,076 वॉल्यूम
51%
28°C
$242 वॉल्यूम
39%
29°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C or higher
$60 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,901समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,901समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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