Forecast consensus from numerical weather models for Shenzhen on September 5 points to a minimum near 25–26°C, driving the leading 25°C market outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid closely bunched alternatives. High humidity near 85–95%, light southerly winds, and 40–50% rain chances overnight limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms may further moderate lows compared to clear-sky baselines. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima around 24°C, with genuine uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers keeping probabilities for 21°C or below and higher thresholds tightly contested. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the outcome after midnight local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे कम तापमान?
5 सितंबर को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C या उससे कम 61%
31°C या उससे अधिक 59%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
61%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
29%
25°C
38%
26°C
28%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C या उससे अधिक
59%
21°C या उससे कम 61%
31°C या उससे अधिक 59%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
61%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
28°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
48%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models for Shenzhen on September 5 points to a minimum near 25–26°C, driving the leading 25°C market outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid closely bunched alternatives. High humidity near 85–95%, light southerly winds, and 40–50% rain chances overnight limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms may further moderate lows compared to clear-sky baselines. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima around 24°C, with genuine uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers keeping probabilities for 21°C or below and higher thresholds tightly contested. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the outcome after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models for Shenzhen on September 5 points to a minimum near 25–26°C, driving the leading 25°C market outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid closely bunched alternatives. High humidity near 85–95%, light southerly winds, and 40–50% rain chances overnight limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms may further moderate lows compared to clear-sky baselines. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima around 24°C, with genuine uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers keeping probabilities for 21°C or below and higher thresholds tightly contested. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the outcome after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$34समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical weather models for Shenzhen on September 5 points to a minimum near 25–26°C, driving the leading 25°C market outcome at 37.5% implied probability amid closely bunched alternatives. High humidity near 85–95%, light southerly winds, and 40–50% rain chances overnight limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range, while scattered thunderstorms may further moderate lows compared to clear-sky baselines. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima around 24°C, with genuine uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or showers keeping probabilities for 21°C or below and higher thresholds tightly contested. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the outcome after midnight local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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